Ten Years of Concealed Carry in Texas

I don't have a concealed carry permit for a handgun, although MLB and I have recently discussed the idea of taking the course that would qualify us for one. I don't feel a great need (well, any need, to be accurate) to carry a gun on my person 99.9% of the time, and I haven't concocted any good solution as to how, exactly, I might go about concealing a 2.5 pound .357 revolver with a 6" barrel, short of investing in one of those dusters that would result in my looking even goofier than usual. But we do occasionally find ourselves out in the middle of nowhere on our bicycle, and the ability to pack a small pistol in those situations offers some not inconsequential reassurance.

But almost a quarter of a million of my fellow Texans have availed themselves of this privilege since it became available a decade ago, and it's interesting to read about the perceived effects of the concealed carry legislation since its adoption.

There's this:

Since the passage of the Concealed Handgun Law, the FBI Uniform Crime Report shows an 18% drop in handgun murders, down from 838 in 1995 to 688 in 2004. And a 13% drop in handgun murders per 100,000 population, down from 4.5 murders per 100,000 Texans in 1995 to 3.95 per 100,000 in 2004.

And this:

Texans who exercise their right to carry firearms are 5.7 times less likely to be arrested for a violent offense. They are 14 times less likely to be arrested for a non-violent offense. And they are 1.4 times less likely to be arrested for murder.

And, finally, this:

Texas Department of Public Safety Uniform Crime Report indicates the overall crime rate in Texas has continued to drop over the past 10 years. In 1997, DPS reported 5,478 crimes per 100,000 Texans, based on a population of 19,355,427 Texans. In 2004, with almost 3 million more Texans, the crime rate is 5,032 per 100,000.

Frankly, I'm a bit skeptical that concealed carry by 1% of the population should get the credit for the statistical drop in crime, and I would also argue -- with respect to the second quote above -- that those who are predisposed to commit violent crimes are also probably not going to fret too much about whether they're carrying their SNSs legally or not. But the point to be understood is that while concealed carry may or may not have made things safer in Texas, it surely hasn't made them less safe. The daily bloodbaths predicted by opponents to the measure simply haven't materialized, and the linked article provides several quotes from people originally opposed to the legislation who now admit they were wrong.

I don't know if we'll ever follow through on our discussion, but it would be a good excuse to buy one of these.

Technorati tag: |

Comments

May be only 1% of the Texas population, but the deterrant may be which 1%??? :-)

Posted by: Gregg at January 6, 2006 04:07 PM

Yeah, that's a pretty common argument, and one that I'm not prepared to dispute.

I know it's made me think twice before busting up a bar! ;-)

Posted by: Eric at January 6, 2006 04:12 PM

I have suggested to the Mrs. that I would like us to take the class to get CC permits. Not that I currently own any guns in which the permit would be necessary but just because t sounds like a fun 'couples' kinda thing.

Posted by: shannon at January 6, 2006 04:42 PM

Shannon, our local community college offers the classes as a part of its continuing education program. I'll bet you have access to a similar setup. And it would be fun to take together.

Posted by: Eric at January 6, 2006 04:51 PM

If you ever do bust up a bar, though, I expect pictures in the Gazette!

Posted by: Jim at January 6, 2006 06:13 PM

"Frankly, I'm a bit skeptical that concealed carry by 1% of the population should get the credit for the statistical drop in crime."

No? Then what has, Eric?

If you believe Texas' CCW law isn't responsible for a 10% reduction in crime, and you may be right, then it stands to reason that some other factor is responsible.

What, then?

You'd be surprised how much effect a CCW law does have, even if only 1% of the law-abiding population takes advantage of it.

...because criminals can't tell which people comprise that 1%. Those who choose not to carry concealed indirectly benefit from the deterrent effect produced by those who do.

You might want to add John Lott's More Guns, Less Crime to your Amazon "Buy" list.

Criminals are experts at sizing up their prey. Prior to SB 60's passage, criminals could look over that guy and his wife riding their tandem and flag them as law-abiding citizens.

...law-abiding, disarmed, and therefore easy pickings.

That's not the case anymore. That guy on his bike just might turn out to be part of the 1%.

Reading your posts, I've noticed that you and YLB do ride in some very lonely places pretty much all by yourselves.

If trouble finds you, you're going to be at the mercy of your attackers. Even if you're able to make an emergency cell phone call, the police aren't going to show up in time to stop the attack.

It's an ugly fact (already decided in court) that the police don't even have a legal obligation to show up at all, much less in time.

Posted by: Mr. Freen at January 6, 2006 09:39 PM

As I said in response to Gregg's statement of your premise, I'm not prepared to dispute this argument...it sounds logical to me. I should have qualified my original statement so that it read "...should get the full credit..." because I don't think a rise or fall in crime can be attributed solely to one factor. The overall health of the economy, city budgets for police forces, etc. can and do have impacts. In any event, it should be obvious that I'm not arguing in any way whatsoever against the concealed carry laws.

Posted by: Eric at January 6, 2006 10:25 PM

Whew! for a moment, I thought you were writing about concealed curry...

Posted by: Patti at January 7, 2006 09:26 PM

Oh, heaven's no...that too dangerous even for Texas!

Posted by: Eric at January 7, 2006 09:30 PM

In Florida rental cars always used to have a license plate starting a "Y". (I think.) So anyone coming off a plane to tour would have such a car. And anyone coming off a plane almost certainly did not have a gun. And 10 - 15 years ago there was a rash of car-jackings of tourists in rental cars. When the licenses were changed so that it wasn't always the same letter and there was no longer a certainty that the driver would be unarmed the car-jackings stopped (or at least became less frequent.) The uncertainty that a criminal has might account for more than 1%, mightn't it?

Posted by: David Gerstman at January 9, 2006 10:41 AM

David, I recall reading about that phenomenon, and I agree that the uncertainty this change introduced very likely contributed to the reduced attractiveness of these vehicles as targets. It may be a bit of a leap to say that the drop was completely due to carjackers now not knowing who was armed and who wasn't; tourists make attractive targets for criminals for a variety of reasons. But, certainly, that has to be a contributing factor -- perhaps even the most significant one.

Posted by: Eric at January 10, 2006 06:34 AM

Me, personally, I'd like to see you with two six-shooters strapped to your side ala a spaghetti western.

Please?

Posted by: Stephen Shores at January 10, 2006 09:57 AM

Well, I actually have two "six shooters," but one's a little bitty snub-nosed .38 while the other's that big honkin' .357 I mentioned, and I'd list to one side if I strapped both of 'em on at the same time.

Posted by: Eric at January 10, 2006 03:04 PM

As someone who carries concealed, I would also like the option for open-carry. Especially outside city limits.

Posted by: Phelps at January 13, 2006 01:28 PM

Phelps, I'd agree with that, although I'd limit it to only outside city limits, if only because it just looks tacky to walk down the park sidewalk with a single action Colt strapped to your leg and an iPod nano dangling from your neck.

Posted by: Eric at January 13, 2006 01:34 PM
Post a comment [Take your time...we're in no hurry.]









Remember personal info?